REE-RL-Lola/simulation_RL_V2.R
2025-12-13 16:59:04 +01:00

596 lines
21 KiB
R

###################### simulation q learning #############################
# Install and load required libraries
# Packages nécessaires
if (!requireNamespace("dplyr", quietly = TRUE)) install.packages("dplyr")
if (!requireNamespace("ggplot2", quietly = TRUE)) install.packages("ggplot2")
library(dplyr)
library(ggplot2)
library(tidyr)
######################## selon l'article rat ############################
# Paramètres d'apprentissage (indépendants pour chaque option)
alpha_g <- rep(0.8, 4) # Taux d'apprentissage pour les gains (pour chaque option)
alpha_l <- rep(0.8, 4) # Taux d'apprentissage pour les pertes (pour chaque option)
lambda_g <- rep(1, 4) # Poids pour les gains (individuel pour chaque option)
lambda_l <- rep(1, 4) # Poids pour les pertes (individuel pour chaque option)
fl <- rep(0.8, 4) # Facteurs d'oubli pertes (spécifique pour chaque option) remplace les alpha pour les options non choisi
fg <- rep(0.8, 4) # Facteurs d'oubli gains (spécifique pour chaque option) remplace les alpha pour les options non choisi
n_choices <- 500 # Nombre total de choix
# Paramètres des options (récompenses)
options <- list(
option1 = list(
gain = sample(3:4, n_choices, replace = TRUE),
loss = sample(-9:-8, n_choices, replace = TRUE),
jp = 3000, bs = 0, p_jp = 0.01, p_bs = 0
), # Antifragile
option2 = list(
gain = sample(8:9, n_choices, replace = TRUE),
loss = sample(-9:-8, n_choices, replace = TRUE),
jp = 0, bs = 0, p_jp = 0, p_bs = 0
), # Robuste
option3 = list(
gain = sample(8:9, n_choices, replace = TRUE),
loss = sample(-3:-4, n_choices, replace = TRUE),
jp = 0, bs = -3000, p_jp = 0, p_bs = 0.01
), # Fragile
option4 = list(
gain = sample(3:4, n_choices, replace = TRUE),
loss = sample(-3:-4, n_choices, replace = TRUE),
jp = 3000, bs = -3000, p_jp = 0.01, p_bs = 0.01
) # Vulnerable
)
#' This function is the actual runner for the simulation with the params
#' provided by other functions that will prepare the parameters to be run by
#' this one
simulation_runner_RL <- function(n_choices, options, params, model_name = "undefined") {
# Nombre d'options
n_arms <- length(options)
# Initialisation
Q_values <- rep(0, n_arms)
Q_values_history <- matrix(NA_real_, nrow = n_choices, ncol = n_arms)
colnames(Q_values_history) <- paste0("Q", seq_len(n_arms))
choices_history <- integer(n_choices)
rewards_history <- numeric(n_choices)
probs_history <- matrix(NA_real_, nrow = n_choices, ncol = n_arms)
colnames(probs_history) <- paste0("p", seq_len(n_arms))
# Récupération des paramètres depuis la liste params
alphas <- params$alphas
forgets <- params$forgets
lambdas <- params$lambdas
rhos <- params$rhos
# Normaliser les formats: si scalar, étendre à n_arms
expand_param <- function(x, default = 0) {
if (is.null(x)) {
return(rep(default, n_arms))
}
if (length(x) == 1) {
return(rep(unname(x), n_arms))
}
if (!is.null(names(x)) && all(grepl("^lambda_?", names(x)))) {
# ordered lambda_1..lambda_n
v <- as.numeric(x)
return(v[1:n_arms])
}
return(as.numeric(x)[1:n_arms])
}
lambda_vec <- expand_param(lambdas, default = 1)
# forgets may be named 'forget' or per-arm
forget_vec <- expand_param(forgets, default = 0)
# Alphas more complexe: can be a single 'alpha', two (alpha_loss, alpha_gain) or vectors per arm
# We store separate gain and loss vectors for easy lookup
if (!is.null(alphas)) {
if (!is.null(names(alphas)) && "alpha" %in% names(alphas) && length(alphas) == 1) {
alpha_gain_vec <- alpha_loss_vec <- rep(unname(alphas["alpha"]), n_arms)
} else if (!is.null(names(alphas)) && all(c("alpha_loss", "alpha_gain") %in% names(alphas)) && length(alphas) == 2) {
alpha_loss_vec <- rep(unname(alphas["alpha_loss"]), n_arms)
alpha_gain_vec <- rep(unname(alphas["alpha_gain"]), n_arms)
} else if (!is.null(names(alphas)) && any(grepl("^alpha_gain", names(alphas)))) {
# per-arm alpha_gain_1..4 and alpha_loss_1..4
# fallback to numeric
alpha_gain_vec <- expand_param(alphas[grepl("gain", names(alphas))], default = 0.1)
alpha_loss_vec <- expand_param(alphas[grepl("loss", names(alphas))], default = 0.1)
} else if (length(alphas) == n_arms) {
# assume same for gain and loss if vector provided
alpha_gain_vec <- alpha_loss_vec <- as.numeric(alphas)
} else {
alpha_gain_vec <- alpha_loss_vec <- rep(as.numeric(alphas[1]), n_arms)
}
} else {
alpha_gain_vec <- alpha_loss_vec <- rep(0.1, n_arms)
}
# rhos: named vector with rho_BS and rho_JP optionally
rho_JP_val <- 0
rho_BS_val <- 0
if (!is.null(rhos)) {
if (!is.null(names(rhos)) && "rho_JP" %in% names(rhos)) rho_JP_val <- as.numeric(rhos["rho_JP"])
if (!is.null(names(rhos)) && "rho_BS" %in% names(rhos)) rho_BS_val <- as.numeric(rhos["rho_BS"])
}
# Simulation loop
for (t in seq_len(n_choices)) {
# Compute subjective values
V_values <- lambda_vec * Q_values
# Add rhos according to the simulation file option mapping:
# option1 = Antifragile (JP possible)
# option2 = Robust
# option3 = Fragile (BS possible)
# option4 = Vulnerable (both)
if (!is.null(rhos)) {
V_values[1] <- V_values[1] + rho_JP_val
if (n_arms >= 3) V_values[3] <- V_values[3] + rho_BS_val
if (n_arms >= 4) V_values[4] <- V_values[4] + rho_BS_val + rho_JP_val
}
# Softmax (numerical stability)
V_max <- max(V_values)
exp_V <- exp(V_values - V_max)
probs <- exp_V / sum(exp_V)
probs <- pmax(probs, 1e-10)
probs <- probs / sum(probs)
# Draw choice
choice <- sample(seq_len(n_arms), size = 1, prob = probs)
# Draw reward according to option structure
opt <- options[[choice]]
u <- runif(1)
jp_p <- ifelse(is.null(opt$p_jp), 0, opt$p_jp)
bs_p <- ifelse(is.null(opt$p_bs), 0, opt$p_bs)
if (u < jp_p) {
reward <- ifelse(is.null(opt$jp), 0, opt$jp)
} else if (u < jp_p + bs_p) {
reward <- ifelse(is.null(opt$bs), 0, opt$bs)
} else {
# normal outcome: either gain or loss
if (runif(1) < 0.5) {
reward <- opt$gain[t]
} else {
reward <- opt$loss[t]
}
}
# Record probabilities, choice and reward
probs_history[t, ] <- probs
choices_history[t] <- choice
rewards_history[t] <- reward
# Select learning rate
if (reward >= 0) {
alpha_used <- alpha_gain_vec[choice]
} else {
alpha_used <- alpha_loss_vec[choice]
}
# Q update
prediction_error <- reward - Q_values[choice]
Q_values[choice] <- Q_values[choice] + alpha_used * prediction_error
# Forgetting for non-chosen arms
not_chosen <- setdiff(seq_len(n_arms), choice)
Q_values[not_chosen] <- Q_values[not_chosen] * (1 - forget_vec[not_chosen])
# Save Q history (after update)
Q_values_history[t, ] <- Q_values
}
# Convert histories to data.frame for output
choices_df <- tibble::tibble(
trial = seq_len(n_choices),
choice = choices_history,
reward = rewards_history
)
probs_df <- as.data.frame(probs_history)
probs_df$trial <- seq_len(n_choices)
Q_history_df <- as.data.frame(Q_values_history)
Q_history_df$trial <- seq_len(n_choices)
# Calcul de la proportion cumulée des choix pour chaque option au cours du temps
proportions_data <- data.frame(
Iteration = 1:n_choices,
Antifragile = cumsum(choices_history == 1) / 1:n_choices,
Robust = cumsum(choices_history == 2) / 1:n_choices,
Fragil = cumsum(choices_history == 3) / 1:n_choices,
Vulnerable = cumsum(choices_history == 4) / 1:n_choices
)
result <- list(
model = model_name,
params = params,
choices = choices_df,
probs = probs_df,
Q_history = Q_history_df,
proportions_data = proportions_data
)
return(result)
}
simulation_homogeneous_RL <- function(n_choices, options, alpha, forget, lambda) {
# Preparing the param list for the simulation runner
params <- list(
alphas = c("alpha" = alpha),
forgets = c("forget" = forget),
lambdas = c("lambda" = lambda)
)
results <- simulation_runner_RL(n_choices = n_choices, options = options, params = params, model_name = "HOMOGENEOUS")
return(results)
}
simulation_gain_loss_RL <- function(n_choices, options, alpha_loss, alpha_gain, forget, lambda) {
params <- list(
alphas = c("alpha_loss" = alpha_loss, "alpha_gain" = alpha_gain),
forgets = c("forget" = forget),
lambdas = c("lambda" = lambda)
)
results <- simulation_runner_RL(n_choices = n_choices, options = options, params = params, model_name = "GAIN_LOSS")
return(results)
}
simulation_biased_RL <- function(n_choices, options, alpha_loss, alpha_gain, forgets_vec, lambdas_vec) {
params <- list(
alphas = c("alpha_loss" = alpha_loss, "alpha_gain" = alpha_gain),
forgets = lambdas_vec, # here user may pass full vector as forgets_vec
lambdas = lambdas_vec
)
results <- simulation_runner_RL(n_choices = n_choices, options = options, params = params, model_name = "BIASED")
return(results)
}
simulation_ree_biased_simple_RL <- function(
n_choices,
options,
alpha_l, alpha_g,
rho_BS, rho_JP,
forget, lambda) {
# Preparing the param list for the simulation runner
params <- list(
alphas = c("alpha_loss" = alpha_l, "alpha_gain" = alpha_g),
forgets = c("forget" = forget),
lambdas = c("lambda" = lambda),
rhos = c("rho_BS" = rho_BS, "rho_JP" = rho_JP)
)
results <- simulation_runner_RL(n_choices = n_choices, options = options, params = params, model_name = "REE_BIASED_SIMPLE")
return(results)
}
simulation_ree_learning_simple_RL <- function(n_choices, options, alpha1, alpha2, alpha3, alpha4, forget, lambda) {
params <- list(
alphas = c(alpha1, alpha2, alpha3, alpha4),
forgets = c("forget" = forget),
lambdas = c("lambda" = lambda)
)
results <- simulation_runner_RL(n_choices = n_choices, options = options, params = params, model_name = "REE_LEARNING_SIMPLE")
return(results)
}
simulation_ree_learning_biased_simple_RL <- function(n_choices, options, alpha1, alpha2, alpha3, alpha4, forget, lambda, rho_BS, rho_JP) {
params <- list(
alphas = c(alpha1, alpha2, alpha3, alpha4),
forgets = c("forget" = forget),
lambdas = c("lambda" = lambda),
rhos = c("rho_BS" = rho_BS, "rho_JP" = rho_JP)
)
results <- simulation_runner_RL(n_choices = n_choices, options = options, params = params, model_name = "REE_LEARNING_BIASED_SIMPLE")
return(results)
}
simulation_agentRL <- function(alpha_g, alpha_l, lambda_g, lambda_l, fg, fl, n_choices, options) {
# Initialisation des Q-values pour chaque option (gains et pertes séparés)
Q1_gain <- 0
Q2_gain <- 0
Q3_gain <- 0
Q4_gain <- 0
Q1_loss <- 0
Q2_loss <- 0
Q3_loss <- 0
Q4_loss <- 0
# Historique des choix, outcome et Q value
choices_history <- integer(n_choices)
rewards_history <- numeric(n_choices)
Q1_gain_history <- numeric(n_choices)
Q2_gain_history <- numeric(n_choices)
Q3_gain_history <- numeric(n_choices)
Q4_gain_history <- numeric(n_choices)
Q1_loss_history <- numeric(n_choices)
Q2_loss_history <- numeric(n_choices)
Q3_loss_history <- numeric(n_choices)
Q4_loss_history <- numeric(n_choices)
# Simulation du processus d'apprentissage
for (t in 1:n_choices) {
# Calcul des valeurs V pour chaque option
V1 <- lambda_g[1] * Q1_gain + lambda_l[1] * Q1_loss
V2 <- lambda_g[2] * Q2_gain + lambda_l[2] * Q2_loss
V3 <- lambda_g[3] * Q3_gain + lambda_l[3] * Q3_loss
V4 <- lambda_g[4] * Q4_gain + lambda_l[4] * Q4_loss
print(c(V1, V2, V3, V4))
# Calcul des valeurs exponentielles de chaque option
exp_V1 <- exp(V1)
if (is.infinite(exp_V1)) {
exp_V1 <- .Machine$double.xmax
}
exp_V2 <- exp(V2)
if (is.infinite(exp_V2)) {
exp_V2 <- .Machine$double.xmax
}
exp_V3 <- exp(V3)
if (is.infinite(exp_V3)) {
exp_V3 <- .Machine$double.xmax
}
exp_V4 <- exp(V4)
if (is.infinite(exp_V4)) {
exp_V4 <- .Machine$double.xmax
}
# Somme des valeurs exponentielles
sum_exp_V <- exp_V1 + exp_V2 + exp_V3 + exp_V4
# Probabilités pour chaque option
p1 <- exp_V1 / sum_exp_V
p2 <- exp_V2 / sum_exp_V
p3 <- exp_V3 / sum_exp_V
p4 <- exp_V4 / sum_exp_V
# Création du vecteur de probabilités
probabilities <- c(p1, p2, p3, p4)
print(probabilities)
# Choix d'une option en fonction des probabilités / ici c'est là ou je pourrais ajouter une boucle if avec epsilon greedy
choice <- sample(1:4, 1, prob = probabilities)
choices_history[t] <- choice
# enregistre les Q value
Q1_gain_history[t] <- Q1_gain
Q2_gain_history[t] <- Q2_gain
Q3_gain_history[t] <- Q3_gain
Q4_gain_history[t] <- Q4_gain
Q1_loss_history[t] <- Q1_loss
Q2_loss_history[t] <- Q2_loss
Q3_loss_history[t] <- Q3_loss
Q4_loss_history[t] <- Q4_loss
# Sélection de l'option choisie et calcul de la récompense
selected_option <- options[[paste0("option", choice)]] # ou juste choice normalement ça devrait marcher et me prendre l'indice correspondant
reward <- if (runif(1) < selected_option$p_jp) {
selected_option$jp # Gain extrême (JP)
} else if (runif(1) < selected_option$p_bs) {
selected_option$bs # Perte extrême (BS)
} else if (runif(1) < 0.5) {
selected_option$gain[t] # Gain normal
} else {
selected_option$loss[t] # Perte normale
}
rewards_history[t] <- reward
# Mise à jour des Q-values pour l'option choisie
if (choice == 1) {
if (reward > 0) {
Q1_gain <- Q1_gain + alpha_g[1] * (reward - Q1_gain)
} else {
Q1_loss <- Q1_loss + alpha_l[1] * (reward - Q1_loss)
}
} else if (choice == 2) {
if (reward > 0) {
Q2_gain <- Q2_gain + alpha_g[2] * (reward - Q2_gain)
} else {
Q2_loss <- Q2_loss + alpha_l[2] * (reward - Q2_loss)
}
} else if (choice == 3) {
if (reward > 0) {
Q3_gain <- Q3_gain + alpha_g[3] * (reward - Q3_gain)
} else {
Q3_loss <- Q3_loss + alpha_l[3] * (reward - Q3_loss)
}
} else if (choice == 4) {
if (reward > 0) {
Q4_gain <- Q4_gain + alpha_g[4] * (reward - Q4_gain)
} else {
Q4_loss <- Q4_loss + alpha_l[4] * (reward - Q4_loss)
}
}
# Mise à jour des Q-values pour les options non choisies avec facteur d'oubli
if (choice != 1) {
Q1_gain <- Q1_gain * (1 - fg[1])
Q1_loss <- Q1_loss * (1 - fl[1])
}
if (choice != 2) {
Q2_gain <- Q2_gain * (1 - fg[2])
Q2_loss <- Q2_loss * (1 - fl[2])
}
if (choice != 3) {
Q3_gain <- Q3_gain * (1 - fg[3])
Q3_loss <- Q3_loss * (1 - fl[3])
}
if (choice != 4) {
Q4_gain <- Q4_gain * (1 - fg[4])
Q4_loss <- Q4_loss * (1 - fl[4])
}
}
# Calcul de la proportion cumulée des choix pour chaque option au cours du temps
proportions_data <- data.frame(
Iteration = 1:n_choices,
Antifragile = cumsum(choices_history == 1) / 1:n_choices,
Robust = cumsum(choices_history == 2) / 1:n_choices,
Fragil = cumsum(choices_history == 3) / 1:n_choices,
Vulnerable = cumsum(choices_history == 4) / 1:n_choices
)
result <- list(
proportions_data = proportions_data, rewards_history = rewards_history, choices_history = choices_history,
Q1_gain_history = Q1_gain_history, Q2_gain_history = Q2_gain_history, Q3_gain_history = Q3_gain_history, Q4_gain_history = Q4_gain_history,
Q1_loss_history = Q1_loss_history, Q2_loss_history = Q2_loss_history, Q3_loss_history = Q3_loss_history, Q4_loss_history = Q4_loss_history
)
return(result)
}
compute_TSREE <- function(proportions_data) {
TSREE <- 1 + proportions_data$Antifragile - proportions_data$Fragil
return(TSREE)
}
compute_OSSREE <- function(proportions_data) {
OSSREE <- proportions_data$Vulnerable - proportions_data$Robust
return(OSSREE)
}
plot_TSREE_OSSREE <- function(proportions_data) {
OSSREE <- compute_OSSREE(proportions_data)
TSREE <- compute_TSREE(proportions_data)
plot(OSSREE, TSREE,
col = "darkblue", cex = 2, xlim = c(-1, 1), ylim = c(0, 2), type = "l",
xlab = "OSSREE", ylab = "TSREE", main = "Evolution of TSREE and OSSREE over trials"
)
lines(c(0, 1, 0, -1, 0), c(0, 1, 2, 1, 0))
lines(c(0, 0), c(0, 2), lty = 2)
lines(c(-1, 1), c(1, 1), lty = 2)
}
plot_mean_TSREE_OSSREE_one_agent <- function(proportions_data) {
OSSREE <- compute_OSSREE(proportions_data)
TSREE <- compute_TSREE(proportions_data)
mean_OSSREE <- mean(OSSREE)
mean_TSREE <- mean(TSREE)
plot(mean_OSSREE, mean_TSREE,
col = "purple", cex = 2, pch = "+", xlim = c(-1, 1), ylim = c(0, 2), type = "p",
xlab = "OSSREE", ylab = "TSREE", main = "Mean TSREE and OSSREE over trials"
)
lines(c(0, 1, 0, -1, 0), c(0, 1, 2, 1, 0))
lines(c(0, 0), c(0, 2), lty = 2)
lines(c(-1, 1), c(1, 1), lty = 2)
}
plot_choices_proportions <- function(proportions_data) {
# Conversion des données pour ggplot
proportions_long <- reshape2::melt(proportions_data,
id.vars = "Iteration",
variable.name = "Option", value.name = "Proportion"
)
# Tracé du graphique
ggplot(proportions_long, aes(x = Iteration, y = Proportion, color = Option)) +
geom_line(size = 1.2) +
labs(
title = "Proportion of simulated choices through trials",
x = "trials",
y = "Proportion of choices"
) +
scale_color_manual(values = c(
"Antifragile" = "blue", "Robust" = "red",
"Fragil" = "green", "Vulnerable" = "purple"
)) +
theme_minimal() +
theme(legend.title = element_blank())
}
#### pour un agent RL
result <- simulation_ree_learning_biased_simple_RL(
n_choices = n_choices,
options = options, alpha1 = 0.5, alpha2 = 0.5, alpha3 = 0.5, alpha4 = 0.5, forget = 0.1, lambda = 1, rho_BS = 0, rho_JP = 0
)
proportions_data <- result$proportions_data
plot_TSREE_OSSREE(proportions_data)
plot_mean_TSREE_OSSREE_one_agent(proportions_data)
plot_choices_proportions(proportions_data)
### pour plusieurs agents RL
n_agent <- 1000
result_multi_agent <- lapply(1:n_agent, function(i) {
n_choices <- 400 # Nombre total de choix
# Paramètres des options (récompenses)
options <- list(
option1 = list(
gain = sample(3:4, n_choices, replace = TRUE),
loss = sample(-9:-8, n_choices, replace = TRUE),
jp = 3000, bs = 0, p_jp = 0.05, p_bs = 0
),
option2 = list(
gain = sample(8:9, n_choices, replace = TRUE),
loss = sample(-9:-8, n_choices, replace = TRUE),
jp = 0, bs = 0, p_jp = 0, p_bs = 0
),
option3 = list(
gain = sample(8:9, n_choices, replace = TRUE),
loss = sample(-3:-4, n_choices, replace = TRUE),
jp = 0, bs = -3000, p_jp = 0, p_bs = 0.05
),
option4 = list(
gain = sample(3:4, n_choices, replace = TRUE),
loss = sample(-3:-4, n_choices, replace = TRUE),
jp = 3000, bs = -3000, p_jp = 0.05, p_bs = 0.05
)
)
result <- simulation_ree_learning_biased_simple_RL(
n_choices = n_choices,
options = options,
alpha1 = 0.5, alpha2 = 0.5, alpha3 = 0.5, alpha4 = 0.5,
forget = 0.2, lambda = 2, rho_BS = -1, rho_JP = 1
)
return(result)
})
proportions_data_multi_agent <- do.call("rbind", lapply(seq_along(result_multi_agent), function(i) {
# Ici on récupère les données de la simu i
current_proportions_data <- result_multi_agent[[i]]$proportions_data
current_proportions_data$repetition <- i
current_proportions_data
}))
## plot des comportements moyens TSREE OSREE
TSREE <- rep(0, length(unique(proportions_data_multi_agent$repetition))) # axe des y
OSSREE <- rep(0, length(unique(proportions_data_multi_agent$repetition))) # axe des x
for (i in unique(proportions_data_multi_agent$repetition)) {
OSSREE[i] <- mean(proportions_data_multi_agent[proportions_data_multi_agent$repetition == i, ]$Vulnerable) - mean(proportions_data_multi_agent[proportions_data_multi_agent$repetition == i, ]$Robust) # f vulnérable - f robuste
TSREE[i] <- 1 + mean(proportions_data_multi_agent[proportions_data_multi_agent$repetition == i, ]$Antifragile) - mean(proportions_data_multi_agent[proportions_data_multi_agent$repetition == i, ]$Fragil) # 1 + f antifragile - f fragile
}
plot(OSSREE, TSREE, col = "darkblue", pch = "+", cex = 2, xlim = c(-1, 1), ylim = c(0, 2))
lines(c(0, 1, 0, -1, 0), c(0, 1, 2, 1, 0))
lines(c(0, 0), c(0, 2), lty = 2)
lines(c(-1, 1), c(1, 1), lty = 2)
# llabels=seq(1,length(OSSREE))
# for (i in 1:length(OSSREE)){text(OSSREE[i],TSREE[i]-.1,llabels[i])}
## plot des proportions en fonctions des trials
summarised_proportions_data <- proportions_data_multi_agent %>%
group_by(Iteration) %>%
summarise_at(vars(Antifragile:Vulnerable), list(mean = mean, sd = sd)) %>%
pivot_longer(cols = Antifragile_mean:Vulnerable_sd, names_to = c("Option", ".value"), names_sep = "_") %>%
mutate(CI_Upper = mean + 1.96 * sd / sqrt(n_agent), CI_Lower = mean - 1.96 * sd / sqrt(n_agent))
ggplot(summarised_proportions_data, aes(x = Iteration, y = mean, color = Option)) +
geom_line(size = 1) +
geom_ribbon(aes(ymin = CI_Lower, ymax = CI_Upper, fill = Option), alpha = 0.2) +
labs(
title = "Simulation of choices through trials",
x = "trials", y = "proportion of choices"
) +
# xlim(0,50)+
theme_minimal()